Solar PV Setup 


I have always been interested in Solar Power since I was a kid. I read the articles about the technology in Popular Science in the early 1980's. I recall three things that stood out from the articles. 
          #1> The breakeven point for a homeowner would be 25 - 30 years 
          #2> The panels were large and extremely inefficient. 
          #3> The Federal and State givernments would need to subsidized this technology in order for the mainstream to embrace it.

The conclusion I drew was it seemed the only ones installing Solar Panels were "real environmentalists" who would embrace the Green Technology at any cost. Solar Panels at this point did not exactly appeal to the mainstream population.

Fast forward to August 2007. I decided to investigate the feasibility of getting Solar PV installed in our new home. I contacted Standard Solar of Gaithersburg, Maryland and got an estimate of a 2.45 KW system.

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Conclusion: I determined by reviewing the numbers that going Solar at that time was not cost effective. While the enviromental benefits were present - the cost was very high. However, I decided to continue to keep an eye on the Federal & State incentives and the technology to see if down the road it would be beneficial.

In late October of 2008, I seriously looked into Solar PV again when the Federal Government as part of the first US stimulus enacted by President Bush added incentives to using Solar, Wind and Geothermal Power. I contact Standard Solar again and they ran the numbers for a 3.68 KW system.

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Conclusion: Installing a Solar PV setup in Maryland not only made environmental sense but financial sense as well. In just two years:

1>  State and Federal incentives went from $5000 to $19200.

2>  Breakeven Point not including increase in home value went from 32+ years to 7.95 years and if you included home value the breakeven point was less than 2 years.

3>  Return on Equity or Investment (ROI) went from 4.1% to 10+%

4>  The output of the Solar panels increased from 175 watts to 230 watts or a 31% increase.

5>  The overall efficiency of the panels went from 15% to 18% or a 20% increase.

6>  Solar generation went from 49% to 72% of total usage. 
Or 3237 kWh per year to 4530 kWh per year.

7>  Tons of CO2 saved per year went from 3.19 to 4.78.

*On Going Recommendation:
The Federal incentives are locked in for the next four years until 2013. However, State incentives are changing constantly. For Maryland Fiscal 2011 - with the exact same system, the grant in Maryland would be reduced from $9200 to $1840. That is a big difference.

Historical Maryland State Grants for a 3.68KW system
FY 2008    $9200       
FY 2009    $4600       FY 2010     $3760      FY 2011    $1840

Here are our Production and Savings Numbers:

2009 Electricity Production in kWh ~10 months 4,219
2010 Electricity Production To Date in kWh 3,202
Actual 2009 Electricity Savings $628.64
Actual 2010 Electricity Savings  
    To Date Computed Daily $466.06
Actual Savings Switching Electricity   
    Suppliers from BGE to Clean Currents  $2.17
Actual Savings Switching Natural Gas  
    Suppliers from BGE to WGES  $4.07
Lifetime kWh Produced kWh 7,420
Savings to Date (lbs of CO2) 12,315.7
As of  8/25/2010
Total Electricity Savings Lifetime: $1,096.87

100%
of our electricity is from green sources.
~85%+ from Solar & 15% from Wind (Clean Currents) 
The additional electricity that we use is supplied by Clean Currents which is 100% Wind Powered
We signed up for a two year contract in June 2009 at a fixed rate of 11.8 cents per kWh
The savings from switching electricity suppliers illustrates that you can go with Wind Power and it is cheaper than BGE's Coal Power at 11.97* cents per kWh. 
*Note - October 1, 2010 BGE will reduce its rates to 10.08 cent per kWh.
Good for the environment and good for your wallet.

Here are the numbers from my PV setup:
Key Assumptions: Increase in home value is based upon research that shows for every $1 in energy savings it adds $20 to the home value. System installed February 26, 2009.

  Year 1 Feb 26 - Dec 31, 2009 Year 2 EST 2010 Year 3 EST 2011
Basic System Price $33,620.00    
State Grant (less 25% Fed tax) $6,900.00    
Federal Tax Credit (30%) $10,086.00    
Credit Total $16,986.00    
Net Investment $16,634.00    
  50.52%    
Avoided Cost of Electricity $628.64 $700.00 $707.00
SRECs  (Future Est. 85% ACP) $720.00 $1,600.00 $1,500.00
MD State Tax Credit (Given for 5 Years) $38.18 $38.18 $38.18
Annual Savings $1,386.82 $2,338.18 $2,245.18
  Total Savings to Date $1,386.82 $3,725.00 $5,970.18
  ($15,247.18) ($12,909.00) ($10,663.82)
       
Increase in Home Value $12,572.80 $14,000.00 $14,140.00
  37.40% 41.64% 42.06%
Pay Back 7.95 Years  
ROI 8.34% 14.06% 13.50%
If you factor in increase in home value the result after one year would be:
($2,674.38) $1,091.00 $3,476.18
Pay Back Less than 2  Years
System Installed on  February 26, 2009
Estimated Breakeven Date with House Value  September 4, 2010
Estimated Breakeven Date without House Value  January 16, 2018
Estimated Breakeven Date with House Value New Maryland Bill Passed on May 4, 2010 February 15, 2017
Opportunity Cost
Investors define opportunity cost as the difference in return between a chosen investment and one that is necessarily passed up. In other words, it is the amount of money you could have earned if you invested in the optimal investment.
Here are sample annual rates of return for investments from January 1, 2000 to December 31, 2009 (ROI's are adjusted for Federal Taxes - 35% for interest and short-term gains - 15% for qualified dividens and long-term gains)
5 Year CD 4% - 5% ROI 
Simulated US S&P 500 -1.47% ROI
IFA Real Estate Securities Index 8.44% ROI 
IFA Internatioal Value Index 5.55% ROI
IFA 5 Year Global Fixed Income Index 3.37% ROI
IFA Emerging Markets Index 9% ROI
IFA Emerging Market Value Index 12.65% ROI
Projected Return for the next 5 years from my Solar PV System 12.46% ROI
Projected Return for the next 10 years from my Solar PV System 11.61% ROI
Projected Return for the next 15 years from my Solar PV System 10.11% ROI
Data from the IFA (Index Funds Advisors) website www.ifa.com
Past performance does not guarentee future performance.    

Bottom Line: There are very few other investments that would return the level of ROI that I will get with my solar PV system and the best part it is guaranteed!

On May 20th, 2010 Maryland Governor Martin O’Malley will sign into law the Renewable Portfolio Standard Bill. This important Bill will speed up the return on your solar investment.

This Bill extends for four years the $400 Alternative Compliance Payment [ACP] that electricity suppliers must pay when they fall short of generating a certain percentage from solar and other renewable sources. Higher ACP means faster payback. In my case, about 13 months faster.
 
*Website Recommendations:

- For up to date information on Grants in Maryland check out the Maryland Energy Administration:
http://energy.maryland.gov/incentives/residential/solargrants/index.asp

- For up to date information on Grants in Other States check out the Database of State Incentives for Renewables & Efficiency:
http://www.dsireusa.org/

- To calculate your expected PV production use the applet at:
http://www.pvwatts.org/ 

- To learn about Standard Solar who performed our installation:
http://www.standardsolar.com

- To sell SRECs at an excellent market price check out SRECTrade at:
http://www.srectrade.com 

- To switch to 100% or 50% wind energy check out Clean Currents supplier at:
http://www.cleancurrents.com

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